> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.cleopetra.fun/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Thesis Index

> Tokenised indices backed by binary event contracts

A Thesis Index is a basket of prediction market positions, curated by a publisher to express one specific thesis.

It avoids the structural problems every alternative carries:

| Instrument             | Drawback                                                                                                                                                 | Verdict   |
| ---------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | --------- |
| **Stocks / ETFs**      | Correlated assets come with unnecessary exposure to company earnings, management, and supply chain noise. AI could dominate and \$NVDA could still fail. | Noisy     |
| **Options**            | Closest way to bet on directional conviction, but built for continuous price movement while macro outcomes are mostly binary.                            | Imperfect |
| **Prediction Markets** | The correct underlying primitive, but managing 15 separate positions to express one thesis is operationally impossible for most.                         | Wrong UX  |

Here's a Thesis Index, end to end:

## Bullish AI, Bearish Regulation

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/cleopetra/eFURqK4PzZq9AABz/images/index_workflow.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=eFURqK4PzZq9AABz&q=85&s=8c7d3cf802559a81cfd70b59f9684fe7" alt="Example index — AI capability outpaces expectations through 2026" width="1576" height="2152" data-path="images/index_workflow.png" />
</Frame>

Publishers compose a basket of prediction market positions. The protocol deploys it across the underlying markets - Kalshi, Polymarket, and others. Traders hold index shares that represent the whole thesis.

## Publishers earn from conviction

Fees vary per Thesis Index and are set by the publisher. They can include a performance fee on gains, a withdrawal fee on exits, or both.

## Jump right in

<Card title="How it works" icon="gear" href="/thesis-index/how-it-works">
  Pricing, NAV and Mechanics.
</Card>
